BREAKING
Polymarket Bets on US Blocking China AI
0
%
Yes probability
0
$
Trading volume
0
Resolution year
How the Market Resolves Yes
1
Legislation or order
↓
2
Export controls
↓
3
Access removed in US
↓
4
Single-channel cuts
Firms Shift to Chinese Models
Lindy
Crivello
●
Moved all traffic to DeepSeek
●
Sharply cut costs
Coinbase
Armstrong
●
Used GLM 5.2, Kimi 2.7
●
Roughly halved AI spend
0
%
Anthropic market Yes
0
%
Cost of US frontier
Enforcement May Prove Hard
AI NEWS BLITZ
Polymarket has opened a market on whether the US will block access to a major Chinese AI model.