BREAKING
Polymarket: 55% Odds Fable 5 Returns
How the Suspension Unfolded
1
Launch June 9
↓
2
Top reviews
↓
3
Gov't order
↓
4
US access cut
Restoration Odds by Deadline
Jun 15
24
Jun 22
43
Jun 26
55
Jul 1
65
Fable 5 Beats Opus 4.8
SWE-Bench Pro
80.3
Opus 4.8
69.2
FrontierCode
29.3
Opus FC
13.4
0
$/M
input tokens
0
$/M
output tokens
0
K
trade volume
Capability vs Control Standoff
AI NEWS BLITZ
Traders see roughly even odds that Claude Fable 5 comes back for U.S. users.