Prediction-market traders are being advised to read a contract's full resolution rules before betting, because a market's title does not always determine how it settles.
Prediction markets · Polymarket
The headline is not the bet: read the resolution rules first
A market's title can suggest one outcome while its formal rules define a different trigger, timeframe, or data source for settlement. Traders are advised to check the full rules before committing funds.
A due-diligence loop before every bet
STEP 1
Copy the title
The short question as listed.
→
STEP 2
Copy the full rules
Trigger, timeframe, time zone, data source.
→
STEP 3
Ask an AI assistant
Explain in plain terms what the contract pays out on.
→
STEP 4
Flag ambiguities
Resolve doubts before funding the position.
What the approach offers
Summarizes long rule text into plain language
Surfaces possible ambiguities in wording
Adds no new product or policy; it is a simple check
Limits to keep in mind
A language model can misread or miss edge cases
Its interpretation is not binding on resolution
Settlement follows the platform's stated rules and process
Key takeaway
The rules section, not the headline, defines what a bet actually pays out on.
Trigger
Timeframe
Time zone
Authoritative source
Partial events
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