The World Bank has projected that artificial intelligence (AI) could lift Poland's economy by as much as 12% by 2035, helping the country converge with the world's richest nations even as its traditional cost advantages fade.
World Bank · Innovation Rising 2026
AI Could Lift Poland's Economy by Up to 12% by 2035
As Poland's low-cost labor advantage fades, the World Bank frames AI-driven productivity and innovation as the key to keeping the $1-trillion economy converging toward advanced-income levels.
+12%
Potential AI boost to 2035 GDP level
$1T+
GDP in 2025 — among world's top 20 economies
4
CEE countries studied: Bulgaria, Croatia, Poland, Romania
The convergence gap, illustrated
A +12% lift would meaningfully narrow the distance to a fully AI-driven trajectory.
Baseline
2035 without AI gains
→
+12%
2035 with wider AI use
3.6%
GDP growth forecast, 2025
The opportunity
Productivity gains as cost advantage fades
Firms enter new value chains, speeding convergence
Job creation in AI-resilient sectors: tourism, healthcare, advanced manufacturing, agriculture, renewables
The bottlenecks
High tech adoption but low actual usage rates
Skills shortages and low R&D investment
Wage pressure & automation at BPO hubs like Krakow
Policy direction · 2026–2031
A new Country Partnership Framework centers on mobilizing private capital and driving innovation ahead of Poland's IBRD graduation after 2031.
Mobilizing private capital
Tech sovereignty
Better jobs & innovation
Figures are a macroeconomic projection of potential effects, not an evaluation of any specific AI model or product.
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