Polymarket Puts 33% Odds on US Cutting Access to a Major AI Model in 2026

A newly launched market on the prediction platform Polymarket, asking whether the US government will formally remove public access to another major AI model within 2026, is trading at 33% for Yes as of early July. The market opened on July 3, 2026, in the afternoon (US Eastern time) and trading volume stands at roughly $6,900 — small in size, but notable because government intervention in AI models is now being priced as a concrete policy risk. Market page